Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.7%
Zorya Luhansk
26.9%
Draw
31.4%
Karpaty
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Zorya Luhansk
vs
1.19
Karpaty
Markets
BTTS53.1%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.526.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
8.4%
0-0
7.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.4%
2-2
5.3%
0-2
5.2%
3-1
4.2%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).