Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.8%
Aberdeen
29.2%
Draw
49.9%
Motherwell
Expected Goals (xG)
0.78
Aberdeen
vs
1.36
Motherwell
Markets
BTTS41.0%
Over 0.587.6%
Over 1.563.8%
Over 2.536.2%
Over 3.517.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.3%
1-1
13.1%
0-0
12.4%
0-2
10.9%
1-0
8.5%
1-2
8.5%
0-3
4.9%
2-1
4.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-0
3.6%
2-2
3.3%
0-4
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).