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AHT: 13

31 Aug 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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7.1%
Chornomorets
18.0%
Draw
74.9%
Polissya Zhytomyr

Expected Goals (xG)

0.48

Chornomorets

vs
2.09

Polissya Zhytomyr

Markets

BTTS33.7%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.547.3%
Over 3.525.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
16.7%
0-1
15.8%
0-3
11.6%
1-2
8.0%
1-1
7.9%
0-0
7.9%
0-4
6.1%
1-3
5.6%
1-0
3.5%
1-4
2.9%
0-5
2.5%
2-2
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).