Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.9%
Livorno
28.1%
Draw
19.0%
Bari
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Livorno
vs
0.83
Bari
Markets
BTTS45.5%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.542.2%
Over 3.521.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-0
11.1%
0-0
10.5%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
6.6%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
5.0%
3-1
4.7%
2-2
3.8%
0-2
3.2%
4-0
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).