Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.8%
Leverkusen
25.9%
Draw
16.2%
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
Leverkusen
vs
0.75
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Markets
BTTS43.4%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.522.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.2%
2-0
12.3%
1-1
12.0%
0-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
6.7%
0-1
6.1%
3-1
5.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-2
3.5%
4-0
2.8%
0-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).