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AHT: 01

13 Sept 2024 · 19:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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6.0%
Arouca
13.1%
Draw
80.9%
Bromsgrove Sporting

Expected Goals (xG)

0.68

Arouca

vs
2.80

Bromsgrove Sporting

Markets

BTTS46.5%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.586.5%
Over 2.567.4%
Over 3.545.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
12.1%
0-3
11.3%
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.2%
0-4
7.9%
1-3
7.7%
1-1
6.2%
1-4
5.4%
0-5
4.4%
0-0
3.5%
1-5
3.0%
2-2
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).