Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.7%
Nantes
23.6%
Draw
24.7%
Metz
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
Nantes
vs
1.08
Metz
Markets
BTTS53.5%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.552.2%
Over 3.530.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
8.9%
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.2%
0-0
6.0%
3-1
5.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-0
5.0%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).