Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.4%
Sutton
24.0%
Draw
48.7%
Scunthorpe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Sutton
vs
1.90
Scunthorpe
Markets
BTTS64.7%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.584.9%
Over 2.563.9%
Over 3.541.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-1
6.8%
0-2
6.7%
2-2
6.5%
0-1
6.2%
1-3
5.9%
0-0
4.5%
1-0
4.3%
0-3
4.3%
2-3
4.1%
2-0
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).