Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.6%
Zaragoza
27.6%
Draw
29.7%
Fuenlabrada
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Zaragoza
vs
1.03
Fuenlabrada
Markets
BTTS46.6%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.541.1%
Over 3.520.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
1-0
12.8%
0-1
10.2%
0-0
9.7%
2-1
8.4%
2-0
8.2%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-1
3.6%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).