Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.0%
Carrarese
24.7%
Draw
54.3%
Sassuolo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Carrarese
vs
1.86
Sassuolo
Markets
BTTS57.1%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.556.5%
Over 3.534.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.1%
0-1
8.7%
0-0
6.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
5.6%
2-2
5.4%
1-0
4.7%
2-3
3.3%
2-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).