Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.6%
Nice
23.1%
Draw
36.3%
Lorient
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
Nice
vs
1.52
Lorient
Markets
BTTS62.3%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.581.7%
Over 2.560.7%
Over 3.538.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.4%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
8.1%
1-0
7.3%
0-1
6.9%
2-2
6.6%
2-0
5.7%
0-2
5.0%
3-1
4.7%
1-3
4.1%
0-0
4.1%
3-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).