Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.0%
Sudtirol
31.1%
Draw
19.9%
Padova
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Sudtirol
vs
0.74
Padova
Markets
BTTS39.7%
Over 0.586.0%
Over 1.562.2%
Over 2.534.0%
Over 3.515.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.5%
0-0
14.0%
1-1
13.7%
2-0
11.0%
0-1
8.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-0
4.8%
1-2
4.6%
3-1
3.6%
0-2
3.5%
2-2
3.1%
4-0
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).