Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.9%
Paris SG
20.2%
Draw
19.9%
Brest
Expected Goals (xG)
2.00
Paris SG
vs
1.05
Brest
Markets
BTTS55.6%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.558.8%
Over 3.536.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
10.0%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.5%
1-1
9.4%
3-1
6.6%
3-0
6.3%
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-2
5.2%
0-0
4.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).