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21 Dec 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.7%
Charleroi
24.7%
Draw
42.6%
Sint-Truiden

Expected Goals (xG)

1.41

Charleroi

vs
1.64

Sint-Truiden

Markets

BTTS61.4%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.558.9%
Over 3.536.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.3%
1-2
9.0%
2-1
7.7%
0-1
7.3%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
6.3%
1-0
6.3%
0-0
5.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.6%
0-3
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).