Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.4%
Arka Gdynia
21.9%
Draw
47.7%
Lechia Gdańsk
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
Arka Gdynia
vs
2.16
Lechia Gdańsk
Markets
BTTS73.2%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.590.5%
Over 2.574.3%
Over 3.554.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
8.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-2
7.1%
2-1
6.6%
1-3
6.0%
2-3
5.1%
0-2
4.8%
3-2
4.1%
0-1
3.8%
3-1
3.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).