Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.9%
Troyes
26.8%
Draw
27.3%
Red Star
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Troyes
vs
0.89
Red Star
Markets
BTTS41.1%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.562.2%
Over 2.536.3%
Over 3.517.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.7%
1-1
12.0%
0-1
11.5%
0-0
10.6%
2-0
9.2%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
5.8%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
3.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-1
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).