Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.6%
Stuttgart
22.3%
Draw
17.1%
Union Berlin
Expected Goals (xG)
2.04
Stuttgart
vs
1.00
Union Berlin
Markets
BTTS55.7%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.581.4%
Over 2.558.5%
Over 3.536.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.5%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
10.0%
1-0
9.0%
3-0
6.8%
3-1
6.8%
0-0
5.5%
2-2
5.0%
1-2
4.9%
0-1
4.1%
4-0
3.4%
4-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).