Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.1%
Crawley Town
25.5%
Draw
46.4%
Fleetwood Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Crawley Town
vs
1.43
Fleetwood Town
Markets
BTTS48.6%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.544.8%
Over 3.523.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.6%
1-1
12.0%
1-0
9.4%
1-2
9.0%
0-2
8.6%
0-0
7.9%
2-1
6.6%
2-2
4.7%
2-0
4.6%
1-3
4.3%
0-3
4.1%
3-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).