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30 Apr 2021 · 19:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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14.2%
Harrogate
25.0%
Draw
60.8%
Cambridge

Expected Goals (xG)

0.56

Harrogate

vs
1.50

Cambridge

Markets

BTTS32.7%
Over 0.587.7%
Over 1.560.4%
Over 2.533.8%
Over 3.515.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
19.6%
0-2
14.4%
0-0
12.3%
1-1
10.2%
1-2
8.0%
1-0
7.6%
0-3
7.2%
1-3
4.0%
2-1
3.0%
0-4
2.7%
2-2
2.2%
2-0
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).