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HHT: 11CSV

27 Mar 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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25.3%
Hartlepool
31.4%
Draw
43.3%
Bromley

Expected Goals (xG)

0.88

Hartlepool

vs
1.24

Bromley

Markets

BTTS42.7%
Over 0.586.9%
Over 1.563.7%
Over 2.535.6%
Over 3.516.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.2%
0-1
13.7%
0-0
13.1%
1-0
9.5%
0-2
9.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
5.8%
2-0
4.7%
0-3
3.8%
2-2
3.6%
1-3
3.3%
3-1
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).