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08 Nov 2020 · 10:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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20.4%
Yeni Malatyaspor
35.0%
Draw
44.6%
Denizlispor

Expected Goals (xG)

0.83

Yeni Malatyaspor

vs
1.31

Denizlispor

Markets

BTTS44.2%
Over 0.584.9%
Over 1.566.1%
Over 2.535.9%
Over 3.516.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
16.0%
0-0
15.1%
0-1
12.3%
0-2
10.1%
1-2
8.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.3%
0-3
4.4%
2-0
4.0%
1-3
3.6%
2-2
3.5%
2-3
1.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).