Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.1%
Blackburn
32.5%
Draw
33.4%
Watford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Blackburn
vs
1.02
Watford
Markets
BTTS42.6%
Over 0.586.2%
Over 1.562.3%
Over 2.534.1%
Over 3.515.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.7%
0-0
13.8%
1-0
12.1%
0-1
11.9%
2-1
7.0%
1-2
6.9%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
6.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-1
2.4%
3-0
2.4%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).