Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.4%
Port Vale
20.7%
Draw
13.9%
Forest Green
Expected Goals (xG)
1.87
Port Vale
vs
0.71
Forest Green
Markets
BTTS42.5%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.572.4%
Over 2.547.5%
Over 3.525.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.6%
2-0
13.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
8.3%
0-0
7.2%
3-1
5.8%
0-1
5.8%
4-0
3.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-2
3.3%
4-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).