Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →5.7%
Norwich
16.1%
Draw
78.2%
Newcastle
Expected Goals (xG)
0.57
Norwich
vs
2.48
Newcastle
Markets
BTTS40.9%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.558.9%
Over 3.536.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
14.5%
0-3
12.0%
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.3%
1-1
7.6%
0-4
7.4%
1-3
6.9%
0-0
5.6%
1-4
4.3%
0-5
3.7%
2-2
2.4%
1-5
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).