Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.8%
Andorra
24.8%
Draw
30.4%
Ceuta
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Andorra
vs
1.23
Ceuta
Markets
BTTS55.6%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.552.5%
Over 3.530.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
7.8%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
0-0
6.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-1
4.7%
0-2
4.7%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).