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DHT: 01CSV

23 Aug 2025 · 16:00

Celta

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.2%
Mallorca
27.1%
Draw
41.6%
Celta

Expected Goals (xG)

1.16

Mallorca

vs
1.38

Celta

Markets

BTTS51.5%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.546.5%
Over 3.525.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.9%
0-1
10.7%
1-0
8.9%
1-2
8.7%
0-0
8.2%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
7.3%
2-0
5.3%
2-2
5.0%
1-3
4.0%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).