Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.3%
Accrington
23.2%
Draw
18.5%
Newport County
Expected Goals (xG)
1.67
Accrington
vs
0.81
Newport County
Markets
BTTS44.7%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.545.2%
Over 3.523.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.4%
2-0
11.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
7.9%
0-1
7.2%
3-0
6.5%
3-1
5.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-2
3.8%
0-2
2.7%
4-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).