Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.3%
Motherwell
20.8%
Draw
10.9%
Dundee United
Expected Goals (xG)
1.99
Motherwell
vs
0.66
Dundee United
Markets
BTTS42.1%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.549.3%
Over 3.527.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.0%
1-0
13.6%
1-1
9.8%
3-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
7.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-0
4.6%
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-2
3.0%
4-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).