Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →80.0%
Southend
14.4%
Draw
5.6%
Maidstone
Expected Goals (xG)
2.58
Southend
vs
0.58
Maidstone
Markets
BTTS41.1%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.582.9%
Over 2.561.2%
Over 3.538.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.1%
3-0
12.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.2%
4-0
7.9%
3-1
7.0%
1-1
6.9%
0-0
4.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-0
4.1%
2-2
2.4%
5-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).