Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.7%
Pordenone
24.0%
Draw
61.3%
Parma
Expected Goals (xG)
0.81
Pordenone
vs
1.86
Parma
Markets
BTTS47.9%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.528.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.0%
0-1
11.8%
1-1
11.4%
1-2
9.7%
0-0
7.9%
0-3
7.4%
1-3
6.0%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.2%
2-2
3.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-4
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).