Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.9%
Barrow
25.5%
Draw
43.6%
Fleetwood Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Barrow
vs
1.39
Fleetwood Town
Markets
BTTS50.2%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.546.1%
Over 3.524.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
0-1
11.8%
1-0
9.6%
1-2
8.8%
0-2
7.8%
0-0
7.5%
2-1
7.1%
2-0
5.1%
2-2
4.9%
1-3
4.1%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).