Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.3%
Como
26.2%
Draw
26.5%
Napoli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Como
vs
1.00
Napoli
Markets
BTTS47.9%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.543.8%
Over 3.522.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-0
9.0%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
9.0%
0-0
8.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-2
4.5%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.3%
3-1
4.3%
3-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).