Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.3%
Ipswich
19.7%
Draw
66.9%
Brentford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Ipswich
vs
2.44
Brentford
Markets
BTTS60.2%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.587.3%
Over 2.567.5%
Over 3.545.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.5%
0-2
9.2%
1-1
8.9%
1-3
7.8%
0-3
7.4%
0-1
6.4%
2-2
5.0%
1-4
4.7%
0-4
4.5%
0-0
4.2%
2-1
4.1%
2-3
4.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).