Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.1%
Sivasspor
29.3%
Draw
14.6%
Yeni Malatyaspor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71
Sivasspor
vs
0.81
Yeni Malatyaspor
Markets
BTTS48.1%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.546.1%
Over 3.524.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
2-0
11.8%
1-0
11.0%
0-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
6.7%
3-1
5.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-2
3.8%
0-1
3.7%
4-0
2.9%
0-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).