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AHT: 02CSV

27 Feb 2021 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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8.7%
Dijon
14.0%
Draw
77.3%
Paris SG

Expected Goals (xG)

0.71

Dijon

vs
2.53

Paris SG

Markets

BTTS46.4%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.583.0%
Over 2.562.9%
Over 3.540.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
12.5%
0-3
10.6%
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.9%
1-3
7.5%
0-4
6.7%
1-1
6.6%
1-4
4.8%
0-0
3.5%
0-5
3.4%
1-0
3.2%
2-2
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).