Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.9%
Northampton
21.0%
Draw
12.0%
Bristol Rvs
Expected Goals (xG)
1.80
Northampton
vs
0.60
Bristol Rvs
Markets
BTTS37.1%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.543.0%
Over 3.522.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.7%
2-0
14.8%
1-1
9.4%
3-0
8.9%
2-1
8.8%
0-0
8.7%
0-1
5.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-0
4.0%
1-2
2.9%
2-2
2.6%
4-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).