Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.0%
Barnet
25.1%
Draw
19.0%
Forest Green
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Barnet
vs
0.75
Forest Green
Markets
BTTS40.7%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.539.5%
Over 3.519.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.2%
2-0
11.9%
1-1
11.3%
0-0
9.9%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
8.3%
3-0
6.0%
3-1
4.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
3.4%
0-2
2.9%
4-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).