Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.8%
Queens Park
28.7%
Draw
42.5%
Arbroath
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Queens Park
vs
1.55
Arbroath
Markets
BTTS58.0%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.553.0%
Over 3.530.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
1-2
9.1%
0-0
8.0%
0-1
7.6%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-2
5.7%
2-0
4.7%
1-3
4.7%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).