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02 Aug 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.1%
Hereford
29.1%
Draw
37.9%
Braintree Town

Expected Goals (xG)

1.00

Hereford

vs
1.10

Braintree Town

Markets

BTTS41.8%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.561.6%
Over 2.535.1%
Over 3.516.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.8%
1-1
13.0%
1-0
12.7%
0-0
11.8%
1-2
7.4%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
6.8%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
0-3
2.7%
3-1
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).