Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.1%
Montpellier
27.6%
Draw
33.2%
Dijon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Montpellier
vs
1.04
Dijon
Markets
BTTS43.4%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.563.5%
Over 2.537.4%
Over 3.517.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.7%
1-1
12.6%
0-1
12.4%
0-0
10.5%
2-1
7.7%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
4.0%
3-1
3.0%
3-0
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).