Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.5%
Maritimo
24.7%
Draw
22.8%
Boavista
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
Maritimo
vs
0.91
Boavista
Markets
BTTS46.2%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.569.5%
Over 2.544.1%
Over 3.523.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
8.4%
0-0
8.2%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
5.2%
3-1
4.7%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).