Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.0%
Alcorcon
32.0%
Draw
39.0%
Sabadell
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
Alcorcon
vs
1.01
Sabadell
Markets
BTTS35.7%
Over 0.584.3%
Over 1.554.8%
Over 2.528.0%
Over 3.511.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.2%
0-0
15.7%
1-0
13.3%
1-1
13.2%
0-2
8.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-1
5.5%
2-0
5.4%
2-2
2.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-3
2.3%
3-1
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).