Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.2%
Ulm
26.2%
Draw
53.6%
Elversberg
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Ulm
vs
1.70
Elversberg
Markets
BTTS51.6%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.549.7%
Over 3.527.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
0-1
10.7%
0-2
10.1%
1-2
9.7%
0-0
8.1%
0-3
5.7%
1-0
5.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-1
5.5%
2-2
4.7%
2-0
3.2%
2-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).