Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.1%
Paderborn
19.5%
Draw
14.4%
Greuther Furth
Expected Goals (xG)
2.41
Paderborn
vs
1.07
Greuther Furth
Markets
BTTS60.6%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.586.9%
Over 2.567.5%
Over 3.545.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.6%
2-0
9.0%
1-1
8.7%
3-1
7.7%
3-0
7.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-2
5.1%
4-1
4.6%
4-0
4.3%
1-2
4.3%
3-2
4.1%
0-0
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).