Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.3%
Sabadell
30.2%
Draw
24.5%
Tenerife
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Sabadell
vs
0.78
Tenerife
Markets
BTTS37.1%
Over 0.585.9%
Over 1.557.8%
Over 2.530.9%
Over 3.513.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.8%
0-0
14.1%
1-1
12.8%
0-1
11.2%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
5.0%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
3.8%
3-1
3.0%
2-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).