Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.2%
Mirandes
26.2%
Draw
28.5%
Eldense
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Mirandes
vs
1.08
Eldense
Markets
BTTS50.0%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.571.2%
Over 2.545.7%
Over 3.524.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
8.9%
2-0
8.3%
0-0
8.0%
1-2
6.8%
2-2
4.8%
0-2
4.7%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
4.0%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).