Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.5%
Amorebieta
32.5%
Draw
24.9%
Alcorcon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Amorebieta
vs
0.72
Alcorcon
Markets
BTTS32.8%
Over 0.582.8%
Over 1.552.1%
Over 2.525.6%
Over 3.510.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.1%
0-0
17.2%
1-1
12.7%
0-1
12.5%
2-0
9.3%
2-1
6.7%
1-2
4.6%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
3.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-1
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).