Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.4%
Bielefeld
26.3%
Draw
29.3%
Nurnberg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.65
Bielefeld
vs
1.31
Nurnberg
Markets
BTTS60.0%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.580.5%
Over 2.556.7%
Over 3.534.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
2-1
9.2%
1-0
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-0
7.1%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
6.0%
0-1
5.7%
3-1
5.1%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
3.9%
3-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).