Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.9%
Montpellier
19.6%
Draw
18.5%
Amiens
Expected Goals (xG)
1.98
Montpellier
vs
0.96
Amiens
Markets
BTTS52.5%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.556.5%
Over 3.534.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.2%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
10.0%
1-1
9.2%
3-0
6.8%
3-1
6.6%
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-2
4.8%
0-0
4.4%
4-0
3.4%
4-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).