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16 Jan 2026 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.2%
Fortuna Dusseldorf
30.0%
Draw
37.9%
Bielefeld

Expected Goals (xG)

1.15

Fortuna Dusseldorf

vs
1.27

Bielefeld

Markets

BTTS50.4%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.543.6%
Over 3.522.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.2%
0-0
10.1%
0-1
10.0%
1-0
9.0%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.2%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
4.7%
1-3
3.5%
0-3
3.0%
3-1
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).